Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.100829 0.118458 0.138160 0.161799 0.189382 0.220544 0.258416
2025-12-07 0.074270 0.096833 0.124679 0.161526 0.208964 0.267957 0.346880
2025-12-14 0.057455 0.081091 0.112543 0.157362 0.219508 0.302567 0.421974
2025-12-21 0.047334 0.071321 0.105280 0.156710 0.232486 0.339895 0.503620
2025-12-28 0.041618 0.066354 0.103298 0.162256 0.253772 0.390192 0.608817
2026-01-04 0.037332 0.062610 0.102209 0.168432 0.276107 0.443961 0.725171
2026-01-11 0.033422 0.058716 0.100115 0.172372 0.294945 0.493970 0.841148
2026-01-18 0.029592 0.054291 0.096400 0.172885 0.307839 0.535409 0.947517
2026-01-25 0.025441 0.048639 0.089751 0.167298 0.309320 0.557516 1.023126
2026-02-01 0.021727 0.043202 0.082689 0.159893 0.306374 0.571166 1.084782
2026-02-08 0.019147 0.039510 0.078278 0.156683 0.310473 0.597448 1.171813
2026-02-15 0.016806 0.035938 0.073599 0.152278 0.311597 0.618061 1.250071
2026-02-22 0.015370 0.034136 0.072409 0.155163 0.328477 0.672732 1.405470
2026-03-01 0.013760 0.031744 0.069748 0.154797 0.339013 0.716825 1.546711
2026-03-08 0.012057 0.028871 0.065655 0.150787 0.341340 0.744521 1.657676
2026-03-15 0.010854 0.026930 0.063284 0.150160 0.350784 0.788031 1.807551
2026-03-22 0.010218 0.026216 0.063543 0.155478 0.374119 0.864081 2.038127
2026-03-29 0.009676 0.025644 0.064041 0.161402 0.399591 0.947827 2.296396
2026-04-05 0.009052 0.024764 0.063674 0.165182 0.420466 1.023567 2.545443
2026-04-12 0.008310 0.023456 0.062073 0.165673 0.433392 1.082269 2.761186
2026-04-19 0.007359 0.021435 0.058381 0.160315 0.430967 1.103924 2.889171
2026-04-26 0.006444 0.019361 0.054252 0.153212 0.423083 1.111174 2.981926
2026-05-03 0.005806 0.017973 0.051754 0.150134 0.425370 1.144198 3.144866